Andrew
Moody’s Analytics has developed a highly accurate model for our presidential elections. Indeed, they’ve only gotten a single election wrong in the last 40 years, and it just happened to be the one everyone else got wrong: The one in 2016. Relying on low gas prices and Obama’s approval ratings to mold their predictions in that case, Moody’s came up short for the first time by predicting that Hillary Clinton would take the White House. But though they turned out to be wrong in that instance, there are good reasons to believe that they won’t be still time. And this time, they see the economic field clearly pointing towards Trump’s reelection.
According to their analysis, Trump will come out on top next November with 332 electoral votes if turnout falls in line with historical averages.
“If the economy a year from now is the same as it is today, or roughly so, then the power of incumbency is strong and Trump’s election odds are very good, particularly if Democrats aren’t enthusiastic and don’t get out to vote,” the authors said. “It’s about turnout.”
That’s a big “if,” unfortunately. The 2018 midterms and the general mood of the left indicates that 2020 will be anything but a low-turnout year. Still, as Moody’s points out, their prediction doesn’t rely solely on Democrats’ lack of enthusiasm. He may not improve on his 2016 win the way they are predicting, but he’s still got plenty of room for maintaining an electoral college lead on the Democrats. Plus, there are strong indications that, even though Democratic enthusiasm will be high, Trump’s supporters are poised to come out in force as well.
How much does all of this mean, this far out from the election? Probably not much, but it is yet another electoral model predicting victory for Trump next year. So far, every one that we’ve seen has done just that. You don’t read much about these models in the media, and that’s because they like to tout their Democrat-weighted polls instead. In any event, a year is a long time, and any number of things could happen between now and then: The economy could crash, we could get involved in an ill-advised war, the Democrats could make Elizabeth Warren their nominee. There’s no telling.
But right now, according to Moody’s election model, the economy, and GOP fundraising numbers, things are looking pretty good. Let’s hope they stay that way.
prednisone taper prednisone for sale without prescription how to take prednisone 6 day pack how long does it take for prednisone to leave your body
modafinil 200 mg get modafinil how long does modafinil last how long does provigil take to kick in
fil’mya kinematograf televideniye киноиндустрия кинофильм кинематограф мультипликация мультфильм кинопроизводство кинокартина sinematograf https://bit.ly/chinovnik-film-2021-kino КИНО
dapoxetine generic ed pills from canada cheap generic ed pills nolvadex generic drugs online
neurontin 300mg capsule neurontin 600 how many neurontin to overdose how much gabapentin equals lyrica
kinokomediya kinoproizvodstvo animatsiya кинолента актер короткометражка akter telefil’m кинопроизводство televideniye кинокомедия https://bit.ly/chinovnik-film-2021-kino КИНО
stromectol how to take stromectol how to take stromectol human dosage
how to take sildenafil 20 mg how to take viagra for maximum effect drug viagra
cialis super force cialis 20mg pas cher cialis 20mg sans ordonnance en france cialis ou equivalent
cialis da banco dove acquistare cialis generico cialis 5 mg once a day prezzo cialis quanto tempo dura
stromectol how to take stromectol what is it scabies stromectol dosage
https://plaquenils.com/ plaquenil osteoarthritis
ventolin inhaler buy albuterol australia buy ventolin evohaler 100 micrograms where to buy albuterol sulfate inhalation solution
medicamento levitra 10 mg cost of levitra at walmart pharmacy levitra pens cheap viagra levitra cialis
cheap uk viagra sex pills for men viagra
good rx pharmacy coupons no 1 canadian pharcharmy online online medical care and prescriptions
gelbe cialis cialis generika was ist cialis 20mg tadalafil puren was ist das
ivermectin generic cream stromectolsnw stromectol how much it cost
bmotyq
doramectin and ivermectin stromectol medicine ivermectin paste to be diluted what worms does ivermectin kill in humans
cialis in france site vente cialis serieux prix cialis 5mg en pharmacie comment remplacer cialis
zitromax zithromax
prezzi viagra viagra economico come comprare viagra in italia come comprare il viagra in farmacia
viagra connect italia viagra prezzo farmacia meglio il cialis o il viagra citrullina come il viagra
kamagra tablets price viagra off patent what happens if women take viagra viagra when to take it for the best results
danger cialis 20 acheter cialis en belgique pourquoi le cialis est il si cher comment avoir du cialis sans ordonnance
plaquenil interactions cost of generic hydroxychloroquine what is the generic name for plaquenil who makes name brand plaquenil
cialis commercial prix du medicament cialis acheter cialis en ligne en belgique ou acheter cialis en toute securitГ©
canadian pharmacies that sell and ship insulin to usa top ten canadian pharmacies
ivermectin cream cost stromectol1st – buy stromectol pills