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Highest Ranking Officer Declares “Long War”

Chairman of the Joint Chiefs-of-Staff Mark Milley has predicted that the conflict in Ukraine will be a long war – possible years to come.  That may be the most pessimistic assessment to date by any military authority.  It also means that Putin wins.

Virtually all of Putin’s problems and military shortcomings are contemporary and fixable.  In fact, the mere size of his military means that he can keep replenishing personnel and equipment far more than can Ukraine.  The soulless Putin sees no difference between losing a tank or losing 100 soldiers.  Both are expendable to his ambitions.

It is an unfortunate fact, that the longer the Ukraine war goes on the less involved and supportive will be the alliance of pro-Ukraine nations – including NATO, the European Union, and an assortment of democratic nations around the world.  Over time, Russia and the world will adjust to the sanctions – and some nations may move to lift them.  Less committed nations will engage with Russia on a business-as-usual basis.  The longer Putin remains undefeated, the more durable he will appear – and be.

While a coalition of nations are sending a large cache of arms to Ukraine – that flow of weaponry will be more difficult and more expensive to maintain as time goes by.

Based on the current assessment of the situation, a long war would be due to Putin’s desire to swallow all of Ukraine.  Without serious military intervention, it is likely that Russian troops will gain control of eastern Ukraine – more than the Donbas Region.

If Putin does have control over the eastern one-third of Ukraine, the only reason for a “long war” would be to advance to the east – to topple the Zelenskyy government in Kyiv and place Russian guns on the border of NATO.

The only way to prevent Putin from eventually annexing all of Ukraine is a victory within the next six to eight months.  And that would take military intervention by NATO and the European Union.  It would mean doubling and re-doubling the flow of weapons – including more offensive weapons … and those jet fighters.  

But even that may not be enough.  The western nations would have to make it clear to Putin that he either withdraws completely from Ukraine or he will endure NATO involvement.  It would not be a declaration of war on Russia, but limited military actions against the invading forces – and those installations attacking Ukraine from inside Mother Russia.  It would mean invoking a no-fly zone over Ukraine.

The threats of a nuclear reaction should not dissuade NATO.  Those who see the war escalating to a global earth-destroying humanity-ending Armageddon have watched too many 1950s war movies.  At most Putin COULD use smaller low-yield tactical nuclear weapons.  If he was convinced that even such limited use would put Russia … Moscow … the Kremlin in the crosshairs of a reprisal attack, he would probably not bring nuclear weapons into the battle.

I have consistently written that sanctions would be ineffective in deterring Putin.  Even arming the Ukrainian army has not caused Putin to blink.  In fact, he has consistently and methodically escalated his attacks.  Despite those sanctions – and despite the setbacks on the battlefield – Putin has proven to be more determined than ever to win the war and take Ukraine as the spoils.

If the west allows the Ukraine war to go on for a long time, it will bear the major responsibility for yet another Putin success.  If he gets away with his insane and brutal ambitions in Ukraine, he has every reason to covet a lot more of the free world geography – and to implement his ambitions with future warfare.

Defeat means Russian troops out of ALL of Ukraine – and Mother Russia pays reparations.  It is too late for a face-saving off-ramp for the Madman of Moscow.  While the western leaders speak of the existential necessity of defeating Putin, they have not put their military where their mouths’ are.

So, there ‘tis.

Written by Larry Horist

7 Comments

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    • I take it you have never been in combat or carried the dead body of a buddy to a a Medevac chopper or found out when you got back to the world that several guys you went to High School with won’t be coming back ….

      Here us a cold hard fact for ya , Bunky. To stop “needless death” you would have to get a bunch of you own young men killed,,,, It;s easy to tell world leaders to “Step UP”,,,,,,As long as there is zero point no chance you or one of your family of being taken off the back of a cargo plane,,,in a flag covered box.

      There is a saying that when we got back the we used to tell the sissies that called us baby killers,,,,”Vietnam, If you haven’t been there then shut the fuck up” If you change the “Vietnam” to wherever you want to kill off a bunch of kids so you can “Stop needless killings” it works just fine today for anybody that want to send one of their young countrymen into any war.

      I’m not saying that sending NATO troops and even in the end the American military into Ukraine may become necessary, but it makes be sick to hear people that have no chance of paying the check to tell young men to go out and get killed.

      Yo,,,,If you actually feel that strongly about it am 2000% sure if you went over there and went to a recruiting office they would have no problem finding something for you to do. I think they have plenty of steel pots and flak jackets you could get off dead Ukrainian and Russian soldiers. Might even to provide you with an AK-47 or some other rifle if you want to clean the dried blood out of it.

      My point is if you live through your first fire fight or rocket attack I am pretty damn sure you would change you tune and shut the fuck up about getting kids killed in some proxi war.

        • Wel said my brother. There are many ways to skin a cat. Our own CIA should be looking at cutting the head of the snake off. At the very minimum we should have no exemption sanctions and not waiting until June to stop buying oil from putin. Biden is more than partially responsible for the death destruction and suffering in Ukraine. His feckless leadership created a weakness of America on the global stage. All of this was predictable known and ignored anyway just so Biden and his ilk could continue selling out the entire planet for their own personal wealth. Fifty years in office and a so called foreign policy expert and he didn’t know he was emboldening despots? Unlikely and moreover these were the very countries Hunter Biden was getting millions from. None of this is an accident and we should not send one single American life to die for rich mens games. This is intentional and planned. Each and every step entirely predictable which is why it will be a long protracted war. There’s more money to be stolen from the American people in a protracted conflict and you better believe this is about money. It always is.

  1. It’s amazing and beyond outrageous that OBiden is still leading this Country. I really don’t care what anyone says about Donald Trump in a negative way! He had this Country running like a fine tuned engine,
    Why can’t OBiden be deposed and taken down as they did with inept Leaders years ago? How was the election fraud so well covered up?
    The Celebrities that are against Trump and the Conservatives are stupid as hell if this is the way they think our Country should be run. They can’t see the light through the Forest.
    God help us!!!

  2. Being conservative and assuming the Russian casualty figures are only half what the Ukrainians are claiming, Putin has already lost a big chunk of his army and he doesn’t actually have a lot in reserve to call on.

    Who is he going to replace his losses with? Conscripts even worse trained than the ones he has now? How is he going to replace the equipment he’s lost? With old stuff pulled out of storage that has been even worse maintained than the stuff he originally put into the line?

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